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Using his system, Lichtman has now correctly predicted 9 of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His only other blemish came in 2000 when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.
Lichtman and Silver clash over methods The pair have squabbled on social media about the validity of their respective methods. In September, Silver questioned whether Lichtman was correctly ...
Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the past half-century, except for the race in 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.
American University professor Allan Lichtman who correctly predicted nine of the last 10 elections said an "October surprise" wouldn't affect his prediction that Kamala Harris would win the 2024 race.
Lichtman's lone incorrect prediction came in 2000 when he said Democrat Al Gore would win the White House. More: Election 2024 live updates: Trump, Harris both rally voters in Nevada; latest polls ...
Using his system, Lichtman has now correctly predicted 9 of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His only other blemish came in 2000 when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.
First, Lichtman said, the Democratic Party "Openly, publicly, viciously" attacked Joe Biden, the incumbent president. "I've studied our politics from the founding to the present.
Allan Lichtman got it wrong. This was Republican year. That is shown not only by Trump's overall victory, but by the sweeping nature of his victory across multiple swing states, and by the ...
Allan Lichtman, who predicted 9 of 10 elections, told USA TODAY he was taking time to assess why he was wrong.