I notice small business loan rejection rates at community banks. When those climb quietly, it signals a credit-tightening cycle before it hits the headlines.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

COPENHAGEN — The war on Iran has upended the global economic outlook overnight. Oil supply routes have been shut down and prices have surged. Every central bank, finance ministry and economic ...

Looking forward, the climbing limo GDP forecasting method anticipates nominal GDP will continue rising in 2026-Q2, reaching ...

Domenico Giannone, an internationally recognized thought leader in econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting, is searching for innovative methods to better understand the complexities of global ...

Planning for the future has never been as vital — nor as daunting — as it is today. The past five years have demonstrated just how tumultuous the construction industry can be – from supply chain ...

Few industries are so sensitive to the whims of the economy as construction. Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, inflation and regulation have left many businesses feeling as though they just ...

This year’s budget will be one of the tightest in a decade, with the New Zealand government halving its operating allowance – the new money it has available to spend – from NZ$2.4 billion to $1.3 ...

Standard Chartered forecasts stronger UAE business activity in the third quarter as the country's non-oil economy expands on ...

Standard Chartered forecasts stronger Saudi business activity in the third quarter as domestic demand, investment and trade ...

Economic models provide formal representations of the interactions among agents, resources and institutions. At the macro level, models range from structural equation systems and dynamic stochastic ...